朝日集团控股（2502）：近期关键讨论

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Asahi Group Holdings [6] Core Views - The report suggests that the recent share price adjustment presents a buying opportunity due to strong earnings progress in the first quarter [1][2] - Asahi plans to increase soft drink prices in October, affecting approximately 70% of its products, which is expected to boost annual earnings by ¥5-8 billion [2] - Management remains committed to aggressive shareholder returns and share buyback programs despite potential M&A activities [3] Financial Overview - The price target for Asahi Group Holdings is set at ¥2,400, with the current share price at ¥1,869 [6] - Projected revenues for fiscal years ending December 2024 to December 2027 are ¥2,939.4 billion, ¥2,948.1 billion, ¥3,008.6 billion, and ¥3,077.1 billion respectively [6] - Operating profit estimates are ¥269.1 billion for FY 12/24, increasing to ¥334.2 billion by FY 12/27 [6] - Net income is projected to rise from ¥192.1 billion in FY 12/24 to ¥243.4 billion in FY 12/27 [6] Market Context - The beverage industry is viewed as "Attractive" by the report, indicating positive expectations for performance relative to the broader market [6] - The report highlights a steady recovery in on-premise sales in Australia, with expectations for improved sales channel mix as Asahi moves towards a premium product lineup [4]