Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report Group 2: Report's Core Views - The US Treasury yield curve shows a "bear steepening" trend, with the long - end in a range of 4 - 4.5% and the short - end (2 - year) likely to decline. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates 1 - 2 times in 2025 and slow down the balance - sheet reduction [1] - In the domestic equity market, the large - cap dividend stocks have seen a pull - back, and the bank - related targets are still recommended for configuration. There are high - quality non - issued pan - technology targets, and investors are advised to buy at low points [1] - The top ten convertible bonds with the greatest potential for premium - to - parity ratio repair next week are Hailiang Convertible Bond, Hexing Convertible Bond, etc. [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Weekly Market Review 1.1. Equity Market Overall Declined, Most Industries Rose - From May 19th to May 23rd, the equity market declined overall, with the average daily trading volume in the two markets decreasing by about 74.483 billion yuan to 1138.753 billion yuan, a week - on - week decline of 6.14% [6][9] - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 19 industries rose, with beauty care, non - bank finance, etc. leading the gains, and computer, national defense and military industry, etc. leading the losses [14] 1.2. Convertible Bond Market Overall Declined, Industry Overall Declined - From May 19th to May 23rd, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 0.11%. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 9 industries rose, with media, bank, etc. leading the gains, and communication, social services, etc. leading the losses [16] - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 63.517 billion yuan, a significant increase of 13.435 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of 26.83% [16] - About 34.17% of the convertible bond individual bonds rose, and about 24.11% of them had a gain in the range of 0 - 1% [16] 1.3. Stock - Bond Market Sentiment Comparison - From May 19th to May 23rd, the weekly weighted average and median of the convertible bond and underlying stock markets were negative, and the convertible bond market had a better trading sentiment overall [33] - On different trading days, the trading sentiment of the stock and bond markets varied. For example, on Monday and Tuesday, the stock market had better trading sentiment, while on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, the convertible bond market had better trading sentiment [35] 2. Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - The long - end of the US Treasury yield is expected to be in a range - bound oscillation, and the short - end is likely to decline. The duration strategy is recommended to be short [1][37][38] - In the domestic market, continue to recommend the configuration of bank - related targets and the purchase of non - issued pan - technology targets at low points [1][38] - The top ten convertible bonds with the greatest potential for premium - to - parity ratio repair next week are recommended [1][39]
建议关注未上市泛科技转债标的
Soochow Securities·2025-05-25 06:02