XIAOMI(01810) 民生证券·2025-05-25 09:37Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance in the next 12 months [6]. Core Insights - Xiaomi has achieved significant milestones, including maintaining a top-three global market share in smartphones for 19 consecutive quarters, successfully launching its automotive and chip businesses, and completing its ecosystem strategy [1][3]. - The introduction of the Xiaomi玄戒 O1 and T1 chips positions the company among the leading flagship chip manufacturers, with the O1 chip utilizing advanced 3nm technology and achieving over 3 million points in AnTuTu benchmarks [2]. - The company has delivered over 258,000 units of the SU7 series and is set to launch the YU7 series, which features impressive specifications such as a range of 835 km for the standard version [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Xiaomi are as follows: 2025 estimated revenue of 506.27 billion RMB, 2026 at 605.21 billion RMB, and 2027 at 700.89 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 38.4%, 19.5%, and 15.8% respectively [5]. - The net profit estimates are projected to be 35.71 billion RMB for 2025, 45.78 billion RMB for 2026, and 59.89 billion RMB for 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 50.9%, 28.2%, and 30.8% [5]. - The report anticipates a decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 36 in 2025 to 21 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [5]. Strategic Developments - Xiaomi's investment in research and development has exceeded 100 billion RMB over the past five years, with an additional 200 billion RMB planned for the next five years, highlighting the company's commitment to innovation [1]. - The successful integration of self-developed chips and the launch of the YU7 series are expected to enhance Xiaomi's high-end smartphone strategy and accelerate growth in its automotive business, which is viewed as a new growth curve for the company [3].