CMS·2025-05-25 10:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the real estate industry, indicating a cautious outlook with potential for gradual recovery in the market [3]. Core Insights - The real estate market continues to experience low-level fluctuations, with construction completions showing a year-on-year decline, indicating a challenging environment for developers [1][42]. - New construction starts are expected to gradually decrease in their rate of decline throughout the first half of 2025, driven by stabilizing housing demand and strategic adjustments by developers [2][43]. - The report highlights the importance of government policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, with a focus on urban renewal and optimizing existing property acquisition strategies [40][41]. Summary by Sections Sales and Market Performance - In April, the year-on-year growth rate of sales area adjusted for the base period was -2.1%, reflecting ongoing low market activity and suppressed buyer sentiment [7][13]. - The total sales area for January to April was 28.26 million square meters, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.8% [9][14]. - The sales amount for April was 270.35 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.2% [9][14]. Construction and Investment - The new construction area in April saw a year-on-year decline of 22.1%, with expectations for a gradual narrowing of this decline in the coming months [2][43]. - The total investment in real estate development for April was 277.30 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 10.3% [9][12]. - The completion area in April decreased by 27.9% year-on-year, indicating a faster-than-expected decline in construction completions [42][46]. Financial Indicators - The funding index for the real estate sector showed a downward trend, currently at a historically low level, suggesting potential improvements in cash flow for some companies [2][9]. - The funding sources for real estate development in April totaled 325.96 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 4.1% [12][41]. Price Trends - The new home prices in 70 cities fell by 0.12% month-on-month in April, with an increasing number of cities experiencing price declines [10][11]. - The average price of new homes was 9,566 yuan per square meter, reflecting a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.4% [12][14].