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基础化工行业周报:发改委新闻发布会再次强调反内卷,高质量化工龙头企业市场份额有望进一步提升
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-05-25 12:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the basic chemical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasized the need to curb "involution" in competition, which is expected to enhance the market share of leading enterprises in the chemical industry [4][21] - The average capital expenditure to depreciation ratio for listed companies in the basic chemical sector has been declining since 2023, indicating that the cycle of significant capital expenditure is nearing its end [4][23] - The report highlights that the chemical industry is undergoing a transformation, with policies aimed at promoting high-quality development and encouraging mergers and acquisitions to eliminate excess capacity [4][22] Summary by Sections Chemical Market Tracking and Event Commentary - The chemical industry index underperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.05% this week [17] - Among 545 stocks in the chemical sector, 30.64% saw weekly gains while 65.87% experienced declines [17] Key Product Tracking - The price of polyester filament has increased, with POY market average price rising by 314.29 CNY/ton to 7050 CNY/ton [27][28] - Phosphate rock prices remained stable, while the price of monoammonium phosphate saw a slight increase of 1.34% [54][56] Industry News - Honeywell announced a $2.4 billion acquisition of the catalyst business from Johnson Matthey [5] - The NDRC's recent announcements are expected to further support the market share growth of high-quality chemical leaders [4][21] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include leading chemical companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Hengli Petrochemical [6][23] - Beneficiary stocks include satellite chemical and various companies across the chemical, fiber, and agricultural sectors [24][25]