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国防军工:军工本周观点:军工:国家级必选消费-20250525
Huafu Securities·2025-05-25 13:30

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5][67] Core Views - The core view emphasizes that the military industry is a national-level essential consumption sector, with strong domestic and international demand expected from 2025 to 2027 due to various catalysts [4][43] - The report highlights a significant improvement in the funding landscape, with a notable increase in passive fund sizes and ETF inflows, indicating a positive outlook for the military sector [3][43] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the military index is 64.24, with a percentile rank of 87.06%, suggesting a high allocation value at this time [3][43] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The military index (801740) decreased by 0.91% from May 19 to May 23, while the CSI 300 index fell by 0.18%, resulting in an underperformance of 0.73 percentage points [10][15] - Since the beginning of 2025, the military index has decreased by 0.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which has dropped by 1.34% [17][10] - Various sub-sectors within the military industry experienced declines, with the engine and commercial aerospace sectors showing particularly poor performance [21][10] 2. Funding and Valuation - There was a significant net inflow of 2.749 billion yuan into military ETFs during the week, indicating a trend of net inflows despite the index decline [28][3] - The military sector's valuation remains attractive, with a current TTM P/E ratio of 64.26, slightly down from the previous week, but still indicating a favorable investment opportunity [34][3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report strongly recommends focusing on three main lines: domestic trade, foreign trade, and self-sufficiency [4][44] - Specific companies to watch include those involved in land equipment, components, aerospace, and information technology upgrades for domestic trade, as well as companies engaged in foreign trade and self-sufficiency initiatives [4][44][45]