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乐自天成招股书拆解
华西证券·2025-05-26 06:10

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, predicting that its stock price will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 15% or more within the next six months [70]. Core Insights - 52TOYS is a leading IP toy company in China, leveraging both proprietary and licensed IPs to build a differentiated competitive advantage. The company has over 100 IPs, including collaborations with top global IPs like Disney and Crayon Shin-chan, achieving significant sales with products like the Crayon Shin-chan wind-up toy and the Beast Box transforming mech [6][10]. - The Chinese IP toy market is projected to grow significantly, with a market size of 756 billion yuan in 2024 and an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% over the next five years. The company aims to capitalize on this growth through technological upgrades and global expansion [6][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - 52TOYS, established in 2012, focuses on creating a diverse range of IP toys, with a revenue of 6.3 billion yuan in 2024 and a net profit of 300 million yuan. The company ranks third among Chinese IP toy companies by GMV [10][19]. - The company operates over 100 IPs, including 35 proprietary IPs and 80 licensed IPs, and has a strong design capability and product innovation strategy [10][49]. 2. Industry Situation - The global IP derivative market is expanding, with a projected size of 1.4 trillion yuan by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2020 to 2024. The Chinese market is expected to reach 1.742 trillion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 15.1% [28][34]. - The Chinese IP toy market is still in its early stages but is rapidly evolving, with a market size of 756 billion yuan in 2024. The average spending per capita in China is significantly lower than in mature markets like the US and Japan, indicating substantial growth potential [34][32]. 3. Business Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 6.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 30.65%. The revenue breakdown includes 24.5% from proprietary IP, 64.5% from licensed IP, and 10.8% from external procurement [42][43]. - The company has a robust global expansion strategy, with overseas revenue accounting for 23.4% of total revenue in 2024, growing at a CAGR of over 100% in the past three years [6][53]. 4. Financial Analysis - The company's revenue has shown steady growth, with figures of 4.63 billion yuan in 2022, 4.82 billion yuan in 2023, and 6.3 billion yuan in 2024. However, it has faced cumulative losses of nearly 200 million yuan from 2022 to 2024 due to high IP licensing costs and marketing expenses [19][21]. - The gross profit margin has remained around 40% in recent years, while the net profit margin has been negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges [19][21]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The Chinese IP toy market is fragmented, with the top ten companies accounting for 46.1% of the market share. 52TOYS ranks second among multi-category IP toy companies in terms of GMV [38][34]. - The company’s diverse product matrix and strong design capabilities provide a competitive edge, similar to trends observed in mature markets [38][34].