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成材:缺乏驱动震荡偏弱
Hua Bao Qi Huo·2025-05-26 06:35

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests treating the situation with a bearish bias in a volatile market [2][3] 2) Core Viewpoint of the Report - The report recommends short - selling on rebounds [4] 3) Summary Based on Related Content - Steel Production Data: Last week, the blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 91.32%, a decrease of 0.44 percentage points from the previous week; the steel mill profitability rate was 59.74%, an increase of 0.43 percentage points from the previous week; the daily average pig iron output was 2.436 million tons, a decrease of 11,700 tons from the previous week. The average operating rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 77.18%, a rise of 1.98 percentage points; the average capacity utilization rate was 59.5%, a rise of 2.93 percentage points. In mid - May, the daily output of crude steel of key steel enterprises was 2.199 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% from the previous period; the steel inventory was 16.35 million tons, an increase of 1.8% from the previous ten - day period and a decrease of 2.1% from the same ten - day period last month [3] - Market Situation: Last week, the price of finished steel fluctuated downward with a lower price center. The macro - environment was relatively stable, and the varieties continued to trade based on their own fundamentals. Currently, steel mills have a good profitability rate, and the enterprise operating rate and pig iron output are at relatively high levels, but the downstream demand has not improved significantly and is likely to decline further after entering the seasonal off - season, showing a situation of strong supply and weak demand [3] - Later Concerns: Macro - policies and downstream demand conditions [4]