Autobio(SH:603658) Huafu Securities·2025-05-26 14:01Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark index within the next six months [22]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, with expectations for recovery driven by overseas expansion and domestic market recovery [2][4]. - The company reported a revenue of 4.471 billion (up 0.62% year-on-year) and a net profit of 1.194 billion (down 1.89% year-on-year) for 2024, while Q1 2025 saw a revenue of 996 million (down 8.56% year-on-year) and a net profit of 270 million (down 16.76% year-on-year) [3][5]. - The company is actively responding to centralized procurement impacts, with expectations for recovery in the second quarter of 2026 [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 25.56 billion in immunodiagnostics (up 2.91% year-on-year), while biochemical testing revenue was 2.22 billion (down 11.21% year-on-year), and microbiological testing revenue was 3.61 billion (up 11.48% year-on-year) [5]. - The overseas business generated revenue of 284 million in 2024 (up 36.25% year-on-year), indicating strong growth potential [6]. - The company maintained stable expense ratios, with a sales expense ratio of 17.2%, management expense ratio of 4.7%, and R&D expense ratio of 16.4% (up 1.6 percentage points) [6]. Product Development and Market Position - The company launched new products including the AutoChem B2000 and B8000 series of fully automated biochemical analyzers, and the Autof T series of microbial mass spectrometry detection systems [6]. - In the NGS segment, the company’s subsidiary successfully launched three gene sequencers and an automated pathogen analysis system, with further products in trial production [6]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is 2.2, 2.6, and 3.0 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17, 15, and 13 [7]. - The company is recognized as a pioneer in the domestic IVD platform, with increased R&D investment expected to enhance competitiveness [7].