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AI算力专题报告:AI产业高景气持续,算力国产化大势所趋
山西证券·2025-05-27 08:23

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the AI computing industry, with a specific focus on the domestic computing power sector [1]. Core Insights - The AI industry continues to experience high growth, with a strong trend towards domestic computing power localization. The demand for AI computing power is driven by both internet companies and intelligent computing centers, with rapid advancements in domestic chip procurement [1][3]. - The report highlights that the domestic AI chip market is expanding, with leading domestic manufacturers accelerating their performance and capacity breakthroughs to compete with Nvidia [4][36]. - The AI server market is undergoing significant changes, with the Ascend series of chips gaining market share among traditional server manufacturers [5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. AI Industry Growth and Localization - The demand for computing power is being driven by the need for training and inference in AI applications, with significant investments expected to rise from 1billionin2023to1 billion in 2023 to 6.5 billion in 2024, marking a 5.5-fold increase [13][16]. - Internet companies are expected to maintain strong capital expenditures for AI, with a projected 163% year-on-year increase in capital spending from major players like Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba in 2024 [22][24]. - The intelligent computing center projects are increasing, with a focus on domestic chip procurement due to government policies and the need for secure and controllable technology [31][34]. 2. AI Chips: Domestic Replacement Opportunities - Nvidia currently dominates the domestic AI chip market, holding an 85% share in 2022, but domestic chip manufacturers are expected to increase their market share to approximately 30% by 2024 [36][37]. - The tightening of U.S. export controls on high-performance AI chips is creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to fill the gap left by Nvidia [39][40]. - Domestic chip manufacturers are rapidly advancing, with companies like Huawei, Haiguang Information, and Cambricon making significant strides in performance and ecosystem development [4][43]. 3. AI Servers: Market Dynamics - The AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach $25.3 billion by 2028, growing at a compound annual growth rate of over 20% from 2024 to 2028 [5][6]. - The Ascend series of chips is gaining traction among major internet companies and intelligent computing centers, leading to increased market share for manufacturers like Inspur [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic manufacturers in the AI server market, with companies like Haiguang Information and Inspur expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI-driven servers [5][6].