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震裕科技(300953):首次覆盖报告:锂电结构件盈利改善,机器人业务前景广阔

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in profitability from lithium battery structural components and has a promising outlook for its robotics business [4][6]. - The company has established a solid foundation in precision manufacturing and is expanding into the emerging field of humanoid robotics, with successful product testing and small-scale deliveries [4][6][58]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company, Zhenyu Technology, started as a precision mold manufacturer and has evolved to focus on precision lithium battery structural components and electric motor cores, while also venturing into humanoid robotics [4][19]. - The company was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2021 and has been actively expanding its business since then [4][19]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported revenue of 6,019 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.63%, but a net profit of 43 million yuan, down 58.73% year-on-year due to various operational challenges [4][25]. - The company expects significant revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 9,114 million yuan in 2025, 11,454 million yuan in 2026, and 14,051 million yuan in 2027 [1][12]. Market Position and Growth - The company has maintained a stable market share in the lithium battery structural component sector, with revenue from this segment increasing from 23.7 billion yuan in 2021 to 57.5 billion yuan in 2024 [7][43]. - The global market for lithium battery structural components is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 557.4 billion yuan by 2025 [42][43]. Robotics Business Development - The company established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Martin Robotics, in 2024 to focus on the robotics sector, achieving breakthroughs in actuator transmission modules and drive modules [4][58]. - The humanoid robotics market is expected to grow substantially, with projections indicating a market size of 642.22 billion yuan by 2030 [54][56]. Profitability and Valuation - The company anticipates a rebound in profitability, with net profits expected to reach 4.09 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 32 times, which is above the average for comparable companies [4][12]. - The report highlights the company's ongoing efforts to improve cost efficiency and maintain competitive pricing in the face of market challenges [11][31].