CMS·2025-05-27 13:25Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Tongguan Gold [2][7][47] Core Views - Tongguan Gold has successfully transformed into a gold mining and selection company since 2017, with significant resource endowment and potential for increased reserves and production. The introduction of Zijin Mining as a strategic investor in 2025 is expected to propel the company into a high-growth phase, allowing it to fully benefit from high gold prices [1][7][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Tongguan Gold was established in 1997 and underwent several transformations before focusing on gold mining in 2017. The company has acquired multiple mining companies to enhance its resource base, including significant acquisitions in Gansu province in 2023 [11][15]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at HKD 1.358 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 22%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach HKD 2.270 billion, reflecting a 53% increase. Net profit is forecasted to grow from HKD 47 million in 2023 to HKD 561 million in 2025, with corresponding PE ratios of 130.5, 31.1, and 11.7 for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively [6][48]. Resource Endowment and Growth Potential - As of the end of 2024, the company has a total gold resource of 55 tons with an average grade of 8.27 g/t, positioning it among the top in the industry. The company has significant exploration and development activities planned, with a focus on increasing production capacity in both Tongguan and Gansu mining areas [31][38][39]. Production and Sales Performance - Gold production increased from 0.7 tons in 2017 to 2.5 tons in 2024, with a projected increase to 2.8 tons in 2025. The company’s sales revenue from gold mining is expected to grow significantly, driven by rising gold prices and improved operational efficiency [43][47]. Strategic Partnerships - The strategic investment from Zijin Mining in April 2025 is expected to enhance Tongguan Gold's operational efficiency and market presence. The partnership includes a metal flow agreement that will provide the company with long-term funding while establishing a collaborative relationship with a leading global mining company [24][26][25]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit, projecting HKD 5.6 billion in 2025, HKD 8.0 billion in 2026, and HKD 9.7 billion in 2027, with a strong focus on increasing production and maintaining cost efficiency [47][48].