液化石油气日报：供需宽松，市场弱势延续-20250528

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The market remains weak due to the loose supply - demand situation. The price of liquefied petroleum gas shows different trends in various regions, with the overall supply being abundant and demand being sluggish. The unilateral strategy is to expect a weak oscillation, and the PG price is at a relatively low level with limited downside space [1][2]. 3. Summary by Section Market Analysis - Regional Prices on May 27: Shandong market: 4450 - 4540 yuan/ton; Northeast market: 4100 - 4250 yuan/ton; North China market: 4500 - 4670 yuan/ton; East China market: 4400 - 4650 yuan/ton; Yangtze River market: 4650 - 4980 yuan/ton; Northwest market: 4400 - 4500 yuan/ton; South China market: 4750 - 4900 yuan/ton [1]. - China's East and South China Import Prices in Late June 2025: In East China, propane is 609 dollars/ton (up 3 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4819 yuan/ton (up 27 yuan/ton); butane is 561 dollars/ton (up 3 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4439 yuan/ton (up 26 yuan/ton). In South China, propane is 612 dollars/ton (up 3 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4843 yuan/ton (up 27 yuan/ton); butane is 564 dollars/ton (up 3 dollars/ton), equivalent to 4463 yuan/ton (up 27 yuan/ton) [1]. - Market Conditions: Spot prices in East and Northwest China increased, while those in other regions remained stable. The overall atmosphere was mild, with downstream purchasing based on rigid demand and sellers' inventories in good condition. Overseas supply remained abundant, and domestic refinery supply was expected to increase after the end of spring maintenance. The combustion demand entered the off - season, and the improvement of chemical demand was weak due to profit issues. Port inventories were high due to previous concentrated imports and needed to be gradually digested by the market [1]. Strategy - Unilateral: The market is expected to oscillate weakly, and since the PG price is at a relatively low level, the downside space is limited. There are no strategies for inter - period, inter - variety, spot - futures, or options trading [2].