JOYY(US:YY) BOCOM International·2025-05-28 09:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, YY US, with a target price of $60.00, indicating a potential upside of 29.9% from the current price of $46.19 [1][29]. Core Insights - The first quarter profits exceeded expectations, with revenue reported at $490 million, a year-on-year decline of 12%. The live streaming revenue decreased by 20%, primarily due to adjustments in non-core voice streaming business and the prior removal of BIGO Live. However, there are signs of marginal improvement in key developed markets, such as a 4% quarter-on-quarter increase in paying users in North America [2][7]. - Non-live revenue grew by 25%, now accounting for 25% of total revenue, with advertising revenue increasing by 27% and SaaS business growing over 20% [2][7]. - The adjusted net profit for the quarter was $63 million, better than the expected $53 million [2][7]. - The company has a stable shareholder return plan, with $600 million in dividends and $300 million in buybacks over three years, representing an average annual return of 13% of market capitalization [2][7]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025 have been slightly reduced by 3% to $2.122 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5%. The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 has been increased to $267 million [5][30]. - The company expects a recovery in BIGO live streaming revenue and accelerated growth in advertising revenue in the second quarter, which may offset the impact of adjustments in the live streaming business [2][7]. - The financial model indicates a stable gross margin expectation despite the anticipated increase in advertising revenue, which typically has a lower profit margin [2][7]. Financial Data - As of the end of the first quarter, the company reported net cash of $3.4 billion, approximately 150% of its current market capitalization [2][13]. - The company has maintained a consistent cash flow, with operating cash flow reported at $58 million for the first quarter [18][31]. - The projected financials for 2025 include total revenue of $2.122 billion, with a gross profit of $764 million and a net profit of $212 million [30][31].