高盛宏观：五大要点解读 --- GS Macro_ Five things you need to know

Investment Rating - The report suggests a broad theme of USD weakness and recommends various trade ideas focused on Asian currencies and rates [2][4][8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the pressure on Asian FX currencies has diminished, allowing for a more favorable environment for receiving Asia rates [2][4]. - It highlights that higher US rates do not necessarily lead to weaker emerging market assets in the context of ongoing de-dollarization [2]. - The report anticipates a further decline in the RMB CFETS index in line with a weaker DXY [8]. Trade Ideas - Short the RMB CFETS index while buying 6-month USDJPY options with a strike of 135, EURUSD options above 1.16, and USDCNH options above 7.0, with a target return of approximately 9% [4]. - Buy 1-month USDKRW 1350-1300-1250 put fly options at around 60 basis points, with a maximum leverage of 6.4x [4]. - Buy 3-month USDTWD 28 binary puts while selling 3-month USDTWD 30.2 binary calls at zero cost [5]. - Short 1-month USDMYR with a preferred entry at 4.25, targeting a move to 4.0 with a stop loss above 4.30 [5][6]. Rates Strategies - Buy KTB 2 ⅝ 03/10/27 Corp bonds with a preferred entry at 2.35%, hedged with a 1-month FX swap for yield enhancement [7]. - Receive 2-year CNY NDIRS at 1.49%, targeting a move to 1.2% with a stop loss above 1.65% [7]. - Receive 1-year HKD IRS at 2.7%, targeting a move to 2.4% with a stop loss above 2.85% [7]. - Long 5-year IndoGB (FR104) at 6.42%, with an extended target of 6.2% and a tightened stop loss at 6.55% [7].