Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4]. Core Views - The company's revenue from passenger car wheels has shown significant growth, contributing to overall revenue increase, while international expansion is progressing steadily [9][12]. - The company faced short-term pressure on profitability due to rising raw material costs, particularly a 4.78% increase in the average purchase price of aluminum bars, leading to a decline in overall gross margin [3][9]. - The establishment of a production base in Thailand is expected to enhance the company's supply capabilities in overseas markets and improve overall risk resilience [4][13]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.028 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.95%. The passenger car wheel business generated revenue of 352 million yuan, up 8.06%, while the commercial vehicle wheel business saw a decline of 1.14% to 374 million yuan [2][11]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 14.92%, down 1.69 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to increased raw material costs [3][11]. International Expansion - The company is actively pursuing a global strategy, with a total investment of 250 million yuan in the Thailand base, which began trial production in March 2025 and is expected to officially commence production in April 2025 [4][13]. - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of major U.S. electric vehicle manufacturers such as Rivian and Lucid, and is also collaborating with various international brands [12][8]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.11 billion, 1.197 billion, and 1.293 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 51 million, 59 million, and 73 million yuan [9][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.34, 0.40, and 0.49 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9][11].
宏鑫科技：乘用车轮业务贡献增长，国际化扩张稳步推进-20250529