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百济神州(688235):2025Q1首次实现季度GAAP净利润转正,泽布替尼放量稳定

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company achieved its first quarterly GAAP net profit in Q1 2025, with total revenue of 1.117billion,ayearonyearincreaseof491.117 billion, a year-on-year increase of 49% [1][14]. - The company is expected to enter a significant period in 2025, with over 10 concept validation milestones anticipated [4]. - The sales of the key product, Zebutini, showed stable growth, with Q1 2025 revenue of 792 million, a 62% year-on-year increase [3][15]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, GAAP operating profit was 11.1million,markingthefirstpositiveresult,whileadjustedoperatingprofitwas11.1 million, marking the first positive result, while adjusted operating profit was 139 million, up 195% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company reported a GAAP net profit of 1.27millionforthefirsttime[1][14].Thetotalrevenuefor2025isprojectedtobebetween1.27 million for the first time [1][14]. - The total revenue for 2025 is projected to be between 4.9 billion and 5.3billion,withGAAPoperatingexpensesestimatedat5.3 billion, with GAAP operating expenses estimated at 4.1 billion to 4.4 billion [12][13]. Cost Management - R&D expenses in Q1 2025 were 482 million, with a R&D expense ratio of 43%, down 18 percentage points year-on-year [2][34]. - Sales and management expenses were 459million,withacorrespondingexpenseratioof41459 million, with a corresponding expense ratio of 41%, down 16 percentage points year-on-year [2][28]. Product Performance - Zebutini's revenue in the U.S. was 563 million, a year-on-year increase of over 60%, while European sales reached 116million,up73116 million, up 73% [3][15]. - The other significant product, Trelizumab, generated 171 million in revenue in Q1 2025, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase [3][23]. Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve a positive GAAP operating profit for the full year 2025, with a projected gross margin between 80% and 90% [12][13]. - The forecasted revenue for 2025-2027 is 37.52billion,37.52 billion, 45.02 billion, and $54.03 billion, respectively [6].