WEB Travel Group Limited：WEB旅游集团有限公司2025财年-尽管宏观环境艰难仍在加速发展-20250529

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for WEB Travel Group Limited with a 12-month price target of A$6.20, slightly up from the previous target of A$6.15 [5][3]. Core Insights - WEB Travel Group Limited has shown resilience in a challenging macro environment, with a strong exit from FY25 and an acceleration into FY26 driven by its conversion strategy [1]. - The company reported a total transaction value (TTV) of A$4.9 billion for FY25, reflecting a 22$121 million, the underlying performance was stronger than expected, with improved revenue composition [2][8]. - The company is targeting a long-term TTV of A$10 billion by FY30E with an EBITDA margin of approximately 50$4.9 billion, up 22% year-over-year, with a revenue of A$328.4 million, slightly above expectations [2][8]. - EBITDA for FY25 was A$121 million, down 13% year-over-year, but 1% above consensus estimates [2][8]. - Cash flow conversion was reported at 73%, lower than the expected 80% [2]. - Bookings for FY26 year-to-date have increased by 29%, with TTV growth of 37% [2]. Forecasts and Valuation - The report forecasts a TTV of A$5.97 billion for FY26, with a revenue target of A$389.2 million [9]. - EBITDA margins are expected to improve to 44-47% in FY26 and reach 50% by FY27 [2][9]. - The valuation metrics indicate WEB is trading at a forward cash-adjusted PE of 17.5x, with a projected 3-year EPS CAGR of over 15% [1][3].