新光光电（688011）：中标半实物仿真测试系统，行业景气度恢复下公司基本面有望好转

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 18.86 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company has won a bid for a semi-physical simulation testing system from LiaoShen Industrial Group, with a total bid amount of 36.5 million CNY [1]. - The industry is experiencing a recovery, which is expected to positively impact the company's fundamentals [1]. - The company is advancing in both technological innovation and market expansion, particularly in infrared guidance technology and laser defense systems [8]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 275 million CNY and 359 million CNY, respectively, with an EPS forecast of 0.13 CNY for 2025 and 0.46 CNY for 2026 [2]. - The net profit for 2026 is projected to be 46 million CNY, reflecting a significant growth rate of 251.5% compared to the previous year [4]. - The company is expected to achieve a gross margin of 47.8% in 2025, increasing to 48.6% in 2026 [4]. Financial Information - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 162 million CNY in 2023 to 464 million CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 29.2% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to turn positive by 2025, reaching 13 million CNY, and further increasing to 68 million CNY by 2027 [4]. - The company’s operating profit is forecasted to improve significantly, from a loss of 45 million CNY in 2023 to a profit of 77 million CNY in 2027 [4].