Xinguang Optic-Electronics(688011) 东方证券·2025-05-29 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 18.86 CNY, reflecting a 25% premium based on the company's growth rate and a PE ratio of 41 times for 2026 [2][5]. Core Views - The company has won a bid for a semi-physical simulation testing system from LiaoShen Industrial Group, with a contract value of 36.5 million CNY, indicating a recovery in industry demand and potential improvement in the company's fundamentals [1][8]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with EPS estimates revised to 0.13 CNY and 0.46 CNY respectively, and a new estimate for 2027 at 0.68 CNY [2]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for military simulation systems, driven by the need for reliable and stable testing methods for guided weapons, which is expected to create significant incremental demand from military exercises and weapon evaluations [8]. Financial Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2025 is 275 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 60%, and is expected to reach 464 million CNY by 2027, maintaining a growth rate of approximately 29.2% [4][11]. - The operating profit is forecasted to turn positive in 2025, reaching 14 million CNY, and is expected to grow to 77 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a significant recovery in profitability [4][11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 13 million CNY in 2025, with a substantial increase to 68 million CNY by 2027, indicating a strong turnaround from previous losses [4][11].