农产品期权策略早报-20250530

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the given document. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows different trends in various sectors. Oilseeds and oils are in a range - bound consolidation, with oils and beans showing a weak trend. Agricultural by - products are in a volatile trend, soft commodities like sugar are weak and cotton is in a high - level consolidation after a rebound. Grains such as corn and starch are gradually warming up and then in a narrow - range consolidation [2]. - Strategies suggest constructing option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product options have different price movements, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the price of soybeans (A2507) increased by 0.29% to 4,123, with a trading volume of 10.04 million lots and an open interest of 14.44 million lots [3]. 3.2. Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume PCR and open interest PCR are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. For instance, the volume PCR of soybeans (A2507) is 1.00 with a change of 0.32, and the open interest PCR is 0.48 with a change of 0.02 [4]. 3.3. Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels of option underlyings are determined by the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of soybeans (A2507) is 4,300 and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.4. Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility includes at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybeans (A2507) is 10.005%, and the weighted implied volatility is 13.50% with a change of - 0.47 [6]. 3.5. Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1. Oilseeds and Oils Options - Soybeans (A2507, B2509): In terms of fundamentals, soybean inventory decreased week - on - week but increased year - on - year. The market is in a high - level consolidation. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option portfolio and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - Soybean Meal (M2507), Rapeseed Meal (RM2507): The trading volume of soybean meal decreased. The market is in a rebound and consolidation. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option portfolio and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Palm Oil (P2507), Soybean Oil (Y2507), Rapeseed Oil (OI2507): The inventory of the three major oils decreased week - on - week but increased year - on - year. The market is in a volatile trend. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option portfolio and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - Peanuts (PK2510): The price of peanuts has rebounded after a long - term decline. Option strategies include constructing a bull call spread for directional trading and a long + put + short call strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.5.2. Agricultural By - products Options - Pigs (LH2507): The spot price of pigs is weak in the short term. The market is in a wide - range consolidation. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option portfolio and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [11]. - Eggs (JD2507): The inventory of laying hens is increasing, and the market is in a downward trend. Option strategies include constructing a bear put spread for directional trading and a short call + put option portfolio with a short delta for volatility trading [12]. - Apples (AP2510): The cold - storage inventory of apples decreased. The market is in a weak downward trend. Option strategies include constructing a bear put spread for directional trading and a short call + put option portfolio with a short delta for volatility trading [12]. - Jujubes (CJ2509): The market trading of jujubes is light. The market is in a weak downward trend. Option strategies include constructing a bear put spread for directional trading, a short strangle for volatility trading, and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.5.3. Soft Commodities Options - Sugar (SR2507): The export volume of Brazilian sugar to China decreased. The market is in a weak and volatile trend. Option strategies include constructing a short call + put option portfolio with a short delta and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - Cotton (CF2507): The开机 rate of spinning mills decreased slightly, and the market is in a volatile trend after a rebound. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option portfolio and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [14]. 3.5.4. Grains Options - Corn (C2507), Starch (CS2507): The price of corn in the northeast decreased slightly, and the market is in a rectangular - range consolidation. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option portfolio [14].