Biwin Storage Technology (688525) 国信证券·2025-06-02 02:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][28][31] Core Views - The company is experiencing a short-term revenue decline due to storage price impacts, with a revenue of 1Q25 at 1.543 billion yuan, down 10.62% YoY and 7.58% QoQ. However, a gradual recovery in storage prices is expected in 2Q25, which may lead to performance improvement [1][20][28] - Embedded storage revenue for 2024 reached 4.241 billion yuan, a significant increase of 151.68% YoY, with products entering major client supply chains. AI-related products are also seeing rapid revenue growth, particularly in AI glasses, which are expected to grow over 500% YoY in 2025 [2][28] - The company is making steady progress in wafer-level advanced packaging, which is anticipated to drive long-term growth. The enterprise-level and automotive-grade storage segments are also expanding successfully [3][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 revenue was 1.543 billion yuan, with a net profit of -216 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline in profitability due to increased R&D expenses and inventory write-downs [1][28] - The company forecasts a gradual recovery in revenue, with expected net profits of 178 million yuan, 200 million yuan, and 382 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [28][29] Revenue Breakdown - Embedded storage is projected to generate revenues of 5.439 billion yuan, 6.459 billion yuan, and 7.363 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [28] - PC storage revenue is expected to be 2.206 billion yuan, 2.283 billion yuan, and 2.363 billion yuan for the same period [28] - Automotive-grade storage revenue is anticipated to grow to 155 million yuan, 294 million yuan, and 418 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [28] Market Trends - The global storage market is experiencing a cyclical downturn, with NAND Flash prices expected to stabilize in 2Q25 after a decline in 1Q25. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this recovery [20][24] - The demand for AI-related storage products is increasing, particularly in the context of AI glasses and high-performance PC storage solutions [2][3][28]