Shanghai Huayi (SH:600623) Orient Securities·2025-06-02 07:57Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 8.60 CNY based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025 [2][6]. Core Views - The company's profitability is expected to maintain steady growth due to the full production of the Guangxi base, falling coal prices, and industry recovery [2][9]. - The Guangxi integrated base is anticipated to significantly enhance the company's competitive edge and profitability stability upon full operation [9][39]. - The company is entering a new phase of value re-evaluation driven by improved market focus and asset injection opportunities [9][49]. Financial Forecast and Investment Suggestions - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.43 CNY in 2025 and 0.60 CNY in 2026 and 2027 [2]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 40,856 million CNY in 2023 to 47,969 million CNY in 2027, with a slight decline in 2025 [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 861 million CNY in 2023 to 1,283 million CNY in 2027 [4]. Company Overview - The company has developed a diversified chemical business with operations in coal chemical, carbon three, tires, and chemical services across multiple bases in China and Thailand [9][12]. - The Guangxi base, covering approximately 8,000 acres with a total planned investment of about 90 billion CNY, is a key asset for the company [39][40]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The Guangxi base is strategically located near key resource import areas, providing a competitive pricing advantage for its products in the southern market compared to the eastern market [45][46]. - The company is expected to benefit from the integration of its coal chemical, carbon three, and chlorine-alkali businesses, enhancing operational efficiency and product offerings [39][41].