HAIER SMART HOME(600690) EBSCN·2025-06-02 13:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (600690.SH) with a current price of 25.04 CNY and a target price of 35.54 CNY [1] Core Insights - The air conditioning business is significantly improving, and digital transformation is accelerating [1] - The company is experiencing strong growth in both domestic and international markets, with a notable increase in market share [5][6] - The digital marketing and inventory reforms are enhancing operational efficiency and brand recognition [6] - The company continues to implement a high dividend policy, with a cash dividend ratio of 48.0% for 2024, expected to remain above 50% in 2025-2026 [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 307.31 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 7.46% [10] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated to be 21.52 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 14.82% [10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 2.29 CNY [10] Market Position - Haier's air conditioning retail sales significantly outperformed the industry, with online and offline retail volumes increasing by 76% and 25% respectively in the first four months of 2025 [5] - The company's market share in air conditioning has strengthened, with a year-on-year increase of 3.6% in online sales and 1.0 percentage points in offline sales [5] Digital Transformation - The launch of the Haier Smart Home AI Data Cloud in Q1 2025 has improved customer interaction and product offerings [6] - The digital inventory model has reduced operational costs for clients, with over 60 new clients introduced to the POP model, resulting in a retail sales increase of over 100% [6] Management and Governance - A new board of directors and executive team has been established, with key appointments including Kevin Nolan for North America and Song Yujun for air conditioning [5][11] - The board has been authorized to repurchase up to 10% of H shares and 30% of D shares [5] Valuation and Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 215 billion CNY, 243 billion CNY, and 273 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [7][10]