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国家推广绿电直连项目,绿电机制竞价正式开启
Changjiang Securities·2025-06-03 00:25

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the public utility sector [8]. Core Insights - The introduction of the "Green Electricity Direct Connection" model is expected to enhance demand certainty and consumption levels compared to traditional projects, particularly benefiting distributed commercial solar, offshore wind, and integrated projects in certain western regions [2][12]. - The green electricity pricing mechanism has transitioned to a competitive bidding phase, marking a shift from a supply-driven growth phase to a mature market regulated by demand [12]. - The report emphasizes that the "carbon neutrality" initiative and electricity market reforms will reshape the intrinsic value of power operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period [12]. Summary by Sections Green Electricity Direct Connection - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have established a framework for the "Green Electricity Direct Connection" model, allowing renewable energy sources to supply electricity directly to single users [12]. - Projects must have at least 60% of their generated electricity consumed on-site and a minimum of 30% of total electricity consumption from self-generated sources, with a gradual increase in self-consumption expected by 2030 [12]. - The model is anticipated to reduce price risks through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs), enhancing project profitability [12]. Pricing Mechanism Transition - Starting June 1, new green electricity projects will no longer follow a benchmark pricing mechanism but will adopt a market-driven pricing model, with a competitive bidding process determining the final price [12]. - The report suggests that this transition may lead to a slowdown in new installations, which is viewed positively as it could alleviate pricing pressures and improve long-term growth prospects [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng International, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [12][16][17]. - For the renewable energy sector, it highlights companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power as key investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and growth potential [12][18].