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万联晨会-20250603
万联证券·2025-06-03 01:08

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.47%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.85%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.96% [3][7] - The total market turnover was 1,164.2 billion, a decrease of 49.2 billion from the previous day, with over 4,100 stocks declining [3][7] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May was reported at 49.5%, indicating a slight improvement in manufacturing sentiment, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.3%, showing continued expansion [8] Industry Analysis Power Equipment - In April 2025, the total export value of power equipment reached 7.893 billion, with a month-on-month growth of 27.44% and a year-on-year growth of 52.84% [9] - Cumulative exports from January to April amounted to 26.134 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.63% [9] - The transformer export market showed strong growth, with April exports valued at 3.474 billion, a month-on-month increase of 12.22% and a year-on-year increase of 41.94% [9][10] - The cable export market performed exceptionally well, with April exports reaching 2.720 billion, marking a month-on-month increase of 76.21% and a year-on-year increase of 92.88% [12][13] Social Services - The fund's heavy position in the social services sector increased to 0.12%, showing a slight rise from the previous quarter, although still below historical averages [14][16] - The hotel and restaurant sectors maintained low heavy positions, while the tourism and scenic areas saw a slight rebound [14][16] - The implementation of vacation policies is expected to boost the tourism market, contributing to growth in the duty-free sector and benefiting hotel and restaurant industries [14][20] Consumer Sector - The heavy position in the consumer sector continued to decline, with a drop to 7.01%, significantly below the historical average of 11.56% [18][19] - The social services, retail, and beauty care sectors saw slight increases in heavy positions, while other sectors experienced declines [18][20] - The food and beverage sector is expected to recover, driven by government policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption [20] Inverter Exports - In April 2025, inverter exports reached 5.772 billion, with a month-on-month increase of 27.70% and a year-on-year increase of 17.04% [22] - Cumulative exports from January to April totaled 17.924 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.37% [22] - The Asian market showed stable growth, particularly in emerging countries like India and Pakistan, while the European market also demonstrated significant recovery [22][24]