HTSC·2025-06-03 04:25Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [7] Core Viewpoints - The Dragon Boat Festival holiday travel was relatively subdued, with a total of 657 million people traveling, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, which is lower than the initial forecast of 7.7% by the Ministry of Transport [2] - Short-distance travel demand showed slightly better performance compared to medium and long-distance travel, primarily due to frequent rainfall in southern regions and the proximity of the holiday to the college entrance examination [2] - The report recommends the aviation sector, particularly China National Aviation (A/H), as well as highway companies such as Anhui Wanshan Expressway (A/H), Zhejiang Huhang Expressway, and Guangdong Expressway A [2] Summary by Sections Aviation - During the Dragon Boat Festival, the average daily passenger volume for civil aviation was 1.867 million, a year-on-year increase of 1.22%, which is lower than the growth rates of rail and road transport [3] - The three-day holiday saw stable growth rates of 0%, 1.3%, and 2.4% respectively, with international routes showing a significant increase of 17.6% in flight volume [3] Road Transport - The total road passenger flow during the holiday was estimated at 600 million, with a daily average of 200 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.14% [4] - The growth rate of road passenger flow was slightly lower than the growth rate of vehicle ownership, which increased by 5.1% year-on-year by the end of 2024 [4] Rail Transport - The total railway passenger volume during the holiday was 47.108 million, with a daily average of 15.7027 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [5] - The railway passenger volume experienced a good start on the first day with a 5.0% year-on-year increase, but saw a decline of 11.2% on the second day due to weather impacts [5] Recommended Stocks - China National Aviation (601111 CH) with a target price of 10.20 and a "Buy" rating [10] - Anhui Wanshan Expressway (600012 CH) with a target price of 18.60 and a "Buy" rating [10] - Zhejiang Huhang Expressway (576 HK) with a target price of 7.82 and a "Buy" rating [10] - Guangdong Expressway A (000429 CH) with a target price of 15.59 and a "Buy" rating [10]