Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-03 04:45Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][29]. Core Insights - The defense and military sector has shown resilience, with the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rising by 2.13%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.03% [3][7]. - The report anticipates a growth cycle for Chinese military trade, driven by increased international recognition of Chinese military products amid geopolitical tensions [6]. - The fundamental changes in the military sector are expected to solidify the upward trajectory of the industry, particularly benefiting companies involved in consumable weapons as the military modernization efforts intensify [6]. - The report suggests increasing attention to the military sector, highlighting specific areas such as precision-guided weapons, underwater capabilities, and advancements in AI and robotics [6]. Market Review - The Shenwan Defense and Military Index outperformed the market, ranking third among 31 sectors with a 2.13% increase [3][7]. - Notable stock performances included Rongfa Nuclear Power, which surged by 31.79%, and Haige Communication, which rose by 16.34% [14][15]. - Conversely, stocks like Lijun Co. and Changchun Yidong experienced significant declines, with Lijun Co. dropping by 21.89% [15]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Defense and Military sector stands at 74.13, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels [15][21]. - The report notes a divergence in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment showing relatively high PE valuations since 2020 [15][19]. Key Valuation Metrics - The report provides a detailed valuation table for key companies in the defense sector, indicating projected net profits and PE ratios for the years 2024 to 2027 [21][24].