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农林牧渔行业周报第18期:夏粮收获三成,猪价震荡运行-20250603
HUAXI Securities·2025-06-03 05:05

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [3] Core Views - The planting industry is seeing significant progress with summer grain wheat harvest, reaching over 30% completion as of May 30, with favorable weather conditions expected to enhance soil moisture and facilitate mechanized sowing [10][11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is anticipated to accelerate, aiming to improve yield and self-sufficiency in key varieties, supported by government initiatives to protect new plant varieties [10] - In the pig farming sector, the average price of live pigs is showing a slight increase, with a current price of 14.39 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 0.36% [11][60] - The supply of breeding sows has slightly decreased, with a total of 40.38 million heads reported, while slaughtering volumes have increased significantly year-on-year [11][60] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - As of May 30, 1.29 million acres of summer wheat have been harvested, with regions like Hubei and Sichuan completing their harvests [10] - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasizes the importance of mechanization to enhance yield and efficiency in sowing [10] - Recommended stocks include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development for planting, and leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong for seed production [10] Pig Farming - The average price of external three-way cross pigs is 14.39 CNY/kg, with a slight increase from the previous week [11] - The number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, while slaughtering volumes have increased by 20% year-on-year [11] - Recommended stocks in the breeding sector include Dekang Agriculture, Jinke Smart Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods, with feed companies like Haida Group also highlighted [11] Key Agricultural Products Data Tracking - Corn: Current average price is 2378.15 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [23] - Wheat: Current average price is 2457.51 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.35% [26] - Soybeans: Current average price is 3927.89 CNY/ton, remaining stable [38] - Cotton: Current average price is 14480.00 CNY/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.14% [42] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.71 CNY/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.73% [48] - Vitamin E is priced at 101.60 CNY/kg, with a decrease of 4.87% [48]