银河证券每日晨报-20250603

Group 1: Macro Overview - The manufacturing PMI in China for May rose slightly to 49.5, indicating signs of stabilization despite remaining in the contraction zone [2][13] - The easing of temporary tariffs between China and the US has led to a rebound in some foreign trade orders, supported by the central bank's continued liquidity injections [2][13] - The overall manufacturing sector in China is showing signs of recovery under policy support, but external uncertainties remain, necessitating ongoing attention to the evolution of China-US trade policies and their potential global economic impacts [2][13] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Supply - Domestic consumption remains stable, with passenger car retail sales showing a year-on-year increase of 16.9% in May [3] - External demand indicators, such as the Baltic Dry Index, continue to decline, reflecting a drop of 29.0% year-on-year [3] - Industrial production showed significant improvement in May, with various sectors experiencing increases in operating rates, although the real estate and infrastructure sectors remain subdued [4] Group 3: Price Trends - The CPI shows a downward trend in pork prices, while fruit and vegetable prices fluctuate [5] - The PPI indicates a general decline in prices for black commodities, with significant drops in coal and steel prices [5] - The low price indices reflect an oversupply situation and unstable long-term demand expectations, impacting commodity price recovery [15] Group 4: Investment and Policy Outlook - The government has accelerated the issuance of special bonds, with the progress reaching 48.9% as of May 31 [7] - The central bank's liquidity support remains robust, with expectations for new policy financial tools to be implemented in the second quarter [8] - The investment strategy for June focuses on three main lines: consumption, technology, and dividends, with an emphasis on value stocks in these sectors [19][21] Group 5: Company-Specific Insights - Jebon Technology, established in 2007, focuses on precision components for consumer electronics, with a significant revenue contribution from precision functional and structural parts [28] - The company is expanding into the VC cooling sector and new materials, including carbon nanotubes, which are expected to drive future growth [29] - The global demand for carbon nanotubes is projected to reach 224 billion yuan by 2025, positioning Jebon Technology favorably in the market [29]