Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-03 06:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, specifically highlighting investment opportunities in the pig farming and pet food industries [3][4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the pet food sector during the "618" shopping festival, with leading brands showing significant sales growth. It also notes the potential for re-evaluation of pig prices due to changing market conditions [4][5]. - The agricultural index increased by 1.8%, contrasting with a 1.1% decline in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, indicating a favorable market environment for agricultural stocks [5]. Summary by Sections Agricultural Stock Market Performance - The agricultural index rose by 1.8%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 1.1%. The top five gainers included ST Tianshan (13.6%), Juxing Agriculture (13.2%), and Xiwang Food (12.4%) [5][12]. - The report suggests focusing on the sales performance of pet food during the "618" shopping festival and the re-evaluation of pig prices, particularly for undervalued leading pig farming companies [4][5]. Pig Farming - Pig prices continue to show strong fluctuations, with a national average selling price of 14.42 CNY/kg as of June 2, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.8%. The report indicates that the overall industry remains profitable, with a profit of 125.3 CNY per head for large-scale farms [4][5]. - The report highlights the expectation of a re-evaluation of pig prices in the second half of the year, driven by strong market realities and declining breeding costs [4][5]. Pet Food - The "618" shopping festival saw explosive sales in the pet food sector, with major brands performing exceptionally well. The festival's duration was extended, leading to increased sales [4][14]. - Key brands such as Guai Bao Pet and Zhongchong Co. showed significant improvements in their rankings on e-commerce platforms, indicating a strong market presence [21][23][28]. Animal Health - The report notes that the re-evaluation of pig prices may drive demand for animal health products, particularly vaccines. The first quarter of 2025 saw a 23.02% year-on-year increase in vaccine approvals [4][5]. - Companies focusing on pet health products are expected to benefit from the growing demand in the market [4][5].