Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures on June 3, 2025. For example, stock index futures will fluctuate and consolidate; gold, silver, copper, zinc, nickel, crude oil, fuel oil, PTA, PVC, soybean oil, and palm oil futures will fluctuate strongly; industrial silicon, lithium carbonate, rebar, hot - rolled coils, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, and soybean meal futures will fluctuate weakly; natural rubber and 20 - number rubber futures will fluctuate weakly; ten - year and thirty - year Treasury bond futures will fluctuate strongly; and tin and methanol futures will have wide - range fluctuations [2][3][4]. - The report also provides macro - economic information, including China's May PMI data, US tariff policies, inflation data, and statements from Federal Reserve officials, which have an impact on the futures market [9][14][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Forecast Stock Index Futures - On June 3, 2025, stock index futures will fluctuate and consolidate. IF2506 has resistance levels at 3833 and 3850 points and support levels at 3798 and 3775 points; IH2506 has resistance levels at 2681 and 2689 points and support levels at 2644 and 2633 points; IC2506 has resistance levels at 5669 and 5700 points and support levels at 5585 and 5560 points; IM2506 has resistance levels at 6031 and 6075 points and support levels at 5905 and 5861 points [2]. - In June 2025, IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts are expected to have wide - range fluctuations, with corresponding resistance and support levels provided [36][37]. Treasury Bond Futures - On June 3, 2025, the ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2509 will likely fluctuate strongly, with resistance levels at 108.80 and 108.90 yuan and support levels at 108.62 and 108.45 yuan [2]. - On June 3, 2025, the thirty - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2509 will likely fluctuate strongly, with resistance levels at 119.6 and 120.0 yuan and support levels at 119.2 and 118.5 yuan [2]. Precious Metal Futures - On June 3, 2025, the gold futures main contract AU2508 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 790.0 and 797.4 yuan/gram, with support levels at 777.3 and 772.6 yuan/gram. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of gold futures will likely have a strong wide - range fluctuation [65]. - On June 3, 2025, the silver futures main contract AG2508 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 8563 and 8600 yuan/kilogram, with support levels at 8249 and 8220 yuan/kilogram. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of silver futures will likely have a strong wide - range fluctuation [73]. Base Metal Futures - On June 3, 2025, the copper futures main contract CU2507 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 79000 and 79500 yuan/ton, with support levels at 77900 and 77600 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of copper futures will likely have a wide - range fluctuation [77]. - On June 3, 2025, the aluminum futures main contract AL2507 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with support levels at 20000 and 19950 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 20160 and 20200 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of aluminum futures will likely have a wide - range fluctuation [83]. - On June 3, 2025, the zinc futures main contract ZN2507 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 22510 and 22700 yuan/ton, with support levels at 22060 and 22010 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of zinc futures will likely fluctuate weakly [91]. - On June 3, 2025, the lead futures main contract PB2507 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with support levels at 16540 and 16500 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 16740 and 16800 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of lead futures will likely have a weak wide - range fluctuation [93]. - On June 3, 2025, the nickel futures main contract NI2507 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 122000 and 122600 yuan/ton, with support levels at 120500 and 120000 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of nickel futures will likely have a weak wide - range fluctuation [98]. - On June 3, 2025, the tin futures main contract SN2507 will likely have a wide - range fluctuation, with support levels at 248500 and 246600 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 252300 and 254000 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of tin futures will likely have a weak wide - range fluctuation [102]. Energy and Chemical Futures - On June 3, 2025, the industrial silicon futures main contract SI2507 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 7050 and 6900 yuan/ton, and set a new low since listing [108]. - On June 3, 2025, the lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2507 will likely fluctuate weakly, with support levels at 58700 and 57400 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 60400 and 61200 yuan/ton [108]. - On June 3, 2025, the rebar futures main contract RB2510 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 2920 and 2900 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 2961 and 2981 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of rebar futures will likely have a weak wide - range fluctuation [110]. - On June 3, 2025, the hot - rolled coils futures main contract HC2510 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 3050 and 3022 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 3076 and 3100 yuan/ton [117]. - On June 3, 2025, the iron ore futures main contract I2509 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 691 and 685 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 705 and 710 yuan/ton. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of iron ore futures will likely have a wide - range fluctuation [119]. - On June 3, 2025, the coking coal futures main contract JM2509 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 700 and 680 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 726 and 740 yuan/ton [126]. - On June 3, 2025, the glass futures main contract FG509 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 970 and 950 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 985 and 997 yuan/ton [127]. - On June 3, 2025, the soda ash futures main contract SA509 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 1170 and 1160 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 1203 and 1217 yuan/ton, and set a new low since listing [129]. - On June 3, 2025, the crude oil futures main contract SC2507 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 463 and 470 yuan/barrel, with support levels at 451 and 448 yuan/barrel. In June 2025, the main continuous contract of crude oil futures will likely have a weak wide - range fluctuation [132]. - On June 3, 2025, the fuel oil futures main contract FU2507 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 3037 and 3058 yuan/ton, with support levels at 2929 and 2910 yuan/ton [7]. - On June 3, 2025, the PTA futures main contract TA509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 4790 and 4840 yuan/ton, with support levels at 4700 and 4690 yuan/ton [7]. - On June 3, 2025, the PVC futures main contract V2509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 4806 and 4836 yuan/ton, with support levels at 4715 and 4700 yuan/ton [7]. - On June 3, 2025, the methanol futures main contract MA509 will likely have a wide - range fluctuation, with support levels at 2195 and 2176 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 2221 and 2238 yuan/ton [7]. Agricultural Futures - On June 3, 2025, the soybean meal futures main contract M2509 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 2932 and 2919 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 2978 and 2996 yuan/ton [7]. - On June 3, 2025, the soybean oil futures main contract Y2509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 7716 and 7776 yuan/ton, with support levels at 7638 and 7616 yuan/ton [7]. - On June 3, 2025, the palm oil futures main contract P2509 will likely fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels at 8206 and 8260 yuan/ton, with support levels at 8054 and 8036 yuan/ton [8]. - On June 3, 2025, the natural rubber futures main contract RU2509 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 13200 and 13000 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 13400 and 13550 yuan/ton [8]. - On June 3, 2025, the 20 - number rubber futures main contract NR2507 will likely fluctuate weakly, break through support levels at 11500 and 11370 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 11870 and 12000 yuan/ton [8]. Macro - economic Information - China's May manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month; non - manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month; composite PMI was 50.4%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. The new export order index and import index increased by 2.8 and 3.7 percentage points respectively [9]. - The US plans to raise the import steel tariff from 25% to 50% starting from June 4, 2025, which has an impact on the global economy and the futures market [14]. - The US 4 - month core PCE price index increased by 2.5% year - on - year, in line with expectations and slower than the previous value. The "super core inflation index" decreased for the first time since April 2020. Traders still bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September [18]. - Federal Reserve officials' statements indicate that if the US tariff measures are not as radical as initially announced, the policy interest rate may be significantly reduced in the next 15 months [19].
股指期货震荡整理,黄金、白银、原油、燃料油期货将震荡偏强,工业硅、螺纹钢、铁矿石、玻璃、纯碱期货将偏弱震荡,天然橡胶、20号胶期货将震荡偏弱
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-06-03 09:51