Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests that Zhengzhou sugar (Zheng sugar) will maintain a weak and volatile trend [4] Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The global sugar supply is in a strong and loose pattern, with the expected sugar production in the 25/26 season in Brazil's central - southern region reaching 42 million tons due to increased cane crushing and high sugar - making ratios [4] - Pre - imported sugar will arrive at ports from mid - to late June, increasing supply pressure in the third quarter as ICE raw sugar prices triggered domestic purchases earlier [4] - The import cost of Brazilian sugar after out - of - quota has dropped, narrowing the price difference with domestic spot prices, and the import profit has recovered, stimulating subsequent purchases [4] - Low - cost substitutes such as syrups and premixed powders are continuously squeezing the consumption space of domestic - produced sugar [4] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Sugar Price and Futures Data - Domestic spot sugar prices vary by region: in Nanning, Guangxi it's 6200 yuan/ton; in Kunming, Yunnan it's 5945 yuan/ton; in Dali, Yunnan it's 5870 yuan/ton; in Rizhao, Shandong it's 6270 yuan/ton [4] - Futures prices: SR09 is 5763 yuan/ton, down 20; SR01 is 5638 yuan/ton, down 22 [4] - The price difference between SR09 and SR01 is 125, up 2 [4] Exchange Rate and International Commodity Price Data - The exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar is 7.2035, down 0.0211; the exchange rate of the Brazilian real against the RMB is 1.2818, up 0.0212; the exchange rate of the Indian rupee against the RMB is 0.084, down 0.0004 [4] - International sugar prices: the ICE raw sugar main contract is 17.1, up 0.06; the London white sugar main contract is 573, up 3 [4] - The price of Brent crude oil main contract is 62.61, down 0.75 [4] Supply - related Information - The expected sugar production in the 25/26 season in Brazil's central - southern region may reach 42 million tons, strengthening the global supply - loose pattern [4] - Pre - imported sugar will arrive at ports from mid - to late June, increasing supply pressure in the third quarter [4] - The import cost of Brazilian sugar after out - of - quota has dropped to 5980 yuan/ton, narrowing the price difference with domestic spot prices to 150 yuan/ton [4] - From January to March, the import of syrups and premixed powders was 242,000 tons (equivalent to about 156,000 tons of sugar), squeezing the consumption space of domestic - produced sugar [4]
白糖数据日报-20250603
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-06-03 10:01