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螺纹钢、铁矿石期货品种周报-20250603
Chang Cheng Qi Huo·2025-06-03 11:09
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For rebar futures, the main contract is expected to operate in the range of 3000 - 2900 this week, and it's recommended to focus on the pressure level at 3000. Steel spot customers can consider a step - by - step selling hedging strategy [7][11]. - For iron ore futures, the main contract is expected to trade in the range of 640 - 770. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the sideways consolidation phase [32][36]. 3. Summary by Directory Rebar Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - The expected operating range of the rebar futures main contract this week is 3000 - 2900, and attention should be paid to the pressure at 3000. Weekly rebar production is 228000 tons, apparent consumption is 245000 tons, major steel mills' inventory is 1.83 million tons, and social inventory is 6.38 million tons. The futures price is in a downward channel on the daily level with significant capital outflows. Steel spot customers can consider a step - by - step selling hedging strategy [7]. 3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy: Steel spot customers were advised to consider a step - by - step selling hedging strategy [10]. - This week's strategy: Spot customers can consider a step - by - step selling hedging strategy, with a reference operating range of 3000 - 2900 and attention to the 3000 pressure level. Steel production enterprises can consider a step - by - step selling hedging strategy for 80% of their spot volume [11][12]. 3.3 Relevant Data Situation - The report mentions "Relevant data situation" multiple times but does not provide specific data details in the given content. It only indicates data sources such as Wind, Mysteel, and the Great Wall Futures Trading Consultation Department [42][47]. Iron Ore Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - The iron ore futures main contract is expected to trade in the range of 640 - 770. Last week, global iron ore shipments were 3352000 tons, arrivals at 45 major Chinese ports were 2276000 tons, steel enterprises' inventory was 8.936 million tons, and major domestic port inventory was 13.983 million tons. The daily line of iron ore futures is in a sideways phase, with the main short - selling camp having a slight advantage. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the sideways phase [32]. 3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy: The Great Wall Futures AI intelligent data model showed that the iron ore futures were in a sideways consolidation phase on the daily line [35]. - This week's strategy: During the sideways consolidation phase, a grid trading strategy can be considered, with a reference antenna of 770, a ground line of 640, 22 grids, and a grid spacing of 6 [36]. 3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Similar to the rebar futures section, the report mentions "Relevant data situation" multiple times but lacks specific data details. The data sources are Wind, Mysteel, and the Great Wall Futures Trading Consultation Department [42][47].