Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company held its 2025 Investor Day on June 3, where it discussed its high-end strategy and new retail format, emphasizing that its moat lies in the core of the Xiaomi model. The company will focus on "chips, AI, OS" as the three foundational pillars of hard technology, continuing to deepen its engagement in the underlying hard technology sector. Through the integration of software and hardware, it aims to empower the entire ecosystem of people, vehicles, and homes [4][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Smartphone and Consumer Electronics - According to the company's president, Xiaomi is expected to see a net inflow of over 13 million users in the Chinese market in 2024, with a market share increase of 5.3 percentage points from 2020 to 2024. In Q1 2025, global smartphone sales reached 41.8 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, with a global market share of 14.1%, up 0.3 percentage points. In mainland China, sales reached 13.3 million units, a year-on-year increase of 40.0%, reclaiming the top position after 10 years. The average selling price of Xiaomi smartphones in Q1 2025 was 1,210.5 yuan, up 5.7% year-on-year, with a market share of 24.4% in the 4k-5k yuan price range, ranking first [8] IoT Business - In Q1 2025, the company's IoT and lifestyle consumer products business achieved revenue of 32.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.7%, with a gross margin of 25.2%, up 5.4 percentage points year-on-year. The revenue from major appliances doubled, indicating initial success of the high-end strategy. In smart home appliances, revenue grew by 113.9% year-on-year, with air conditioning shipments exceeding 1.1 million units (up over 65%), refrigerators over 880,000 units (up over 65%), and washing machines over 740,000 units (up over 100%) [8] Automotive Business - The automotive business is gradually narrowing its losses, with a Q1 2025 loss of 500 million yuan, a significant reduction of 50.2% quarter-on-quarter. The company is advancing new model launches, with the YU7 model expected to launch in July. The YU7 is designed to balance aesthetics and performance while offering exceptional value, potentially becoming a bestseller. With the YU7's launch, the automotive business is entering a strong model cycle, and profitability is expected to improve further, with a forecast of achieving profitability in Q3 to Q4 of this year [8] Overall Ecosystem Development - The comprehensive development of Xiaomi's "people, vehicles, and homes" ecosystem, along with steady growth in smartphones and rapid growth in IoT appliances and automotive business, leads to projected net profits of 42.39 billion yuan, 55.75 billion yuan, and 70.08 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating [8]
小米集团-W：小米模式构筑护城河，人车家高端化行则将至-20250604
Changjiang Securities·2025-06-04 00:20