WINGTECH(600745)2025-06-04 01:50Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company with a target price of 96.00 CNY, based on a 30x forward P/E ratio, which is close to the historical average of peers in the A-share market [2][27][28]. Core Insights - The company is transitioning to a pure semiconductor IDM model, with the divestiture of its ODM business expected to eliminate negative profitability factors. This transition is anticipated to enhance growth prospects and improve profitability [7][12][27]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand in the Chinese market and the recovery of the higher-margin European market. The financial burden is expected to decrease, leading to a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 212% in earnings from 2025 to 2027 [1][12][27]. - The semiconductor business is projected to see revenue growth of 22%, 11%, and 11% in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, despite an expected decline in overall sales due to the divestiture of the ODM business [23][27]. Summary by Sections Financial Forecasts - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 1.65 CNY, with a significant recovery expected in subsequent years, reaching 2.53 CNY in 2026 and 3.24 CNY in 2027 [4][11][30]. - Revenue for 2025 is expected to decline to 31,480 million CNY, down 57% year-on-year, but net profit is projected to increase by 173% to 2,057 million CNY [11][23][30]. Valuation and Market Position - The company is currently one of the lowest-valued semiconductor firms covered, trading at a 40% discount compared to peers, with a dynamic P/E ratio of 17x [1][12]. - The report highlights the company's strong position as a leading supplier in the discrete semiconductor market, benefiting from the trend of semiconductor localization in China [12][27]. Market Performance - Year-to-date, the company's stock has decreased by 12.4%, underperforming the A-share technology and semiconductor indices by 8% and 10%, respectively [25][26]. - The report suggests that despite the ongoing divestiture of the ODM assets, the current market conditions present a favorable opportunity to reassess the company's potential due to its improving semiconductor business outlook [25][27].