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资金面均衡偏松,债市整体偏弱震荡
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-06-04 07:51

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View On June 3, the liquidity situation was balanced with a slight easing trend. The bond market showed a weak and volatile performance overall, while the convertible bond market continued to rise following the equity market. US Treasury yields generally increased across various tenors, and the 10-year government bond yields of major European economies mostly declined [1][2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - Domestic News: The "Regulations on the Sharing of Government Affairs Data" will be implemented on August 1, 2025. The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI in May was 48.3, dropping 2.1 percentage points from the previous month. The central bank conducted a standing lending facility operation of 14.01 billion yuan in May. The total social logistics volume in the first four months increased by 5.6% year-on-year. Five departments jointly launched the new energy vehicle campaign in rural areas [4][5][6]. - International News: The number of job openings in the US in April unexpectedly increased. The OECD downgraded the global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 2.9%. Lee Jae-myung won the South Korean presidential election [7][8][10]. - Commodity News: International crude oil and natural gas futures prices rose on June 3 [11]. 3.2 Liquidity - Open Market Operations: On June 3, the central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 454.5 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%. With 830 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal of funds was 375.5 billion yuan [13]. - Funding Rates: On June 3, the funding situation was balanced with a slight easing trend, and major repurchase rates declined. DR001 decreased by 6.86bp to 1.414%, and DR007 decreased by 11.49bp to 1.550% [14]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - Interest Rate Bonds: - Cash Bond Yield Trends: On June 3, the increase in the issuance price of negotiable certificates of deposit dampened market sentiment, and the bond market showed a weak and volatile performance. The yield of the 10-year treasury bond active bond 250011 rose by 0.10bp to 1.6760%, and the yield of the 10-year CDB bond active bond 250210 rose by 0.45bp to 1.7170% [17]. - Bond Tendering: Information on the tendering of three agricultural development bonds was provided, including terms, issuance scales, winning yields, and other details [18]. - Credit Bonds: - Secondary Market Transaction Anomalies: On June 3, the trading price of one industrial bond, "H0 Baolong 04", deviated by more than 10%, with a gain of over 1200% [18]. - Credit Bond Events: Multiple credit bond events were reported, including bond resumptions, holder meetings, credit rating adjustments, and debt settlements [19]. - Equity and Convertible Bond Indices: - Equity Market: On June 3, the three major A-share indices closed higher. The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rose by 0.43%, 0.16%, and 0.48% respectively, with a total trading volume of 1.16 trillion yuan [20]. - Convertible Bond Market: The convertible bond market continued to rise following the equity market. The CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.29%, 0.28%, and 0.32% respectively. Most convertible bond issues closed higher [20]. - Convertible Bond Tracking: On June 3, Nenghui Convertible Bond announced that it would not adjust the conversion price downward, and Kesun Convertible Bond announced that it would not choose to adjust the conversion price downward if the downward adjustment conditions were triggered again within the next six months [22]. - Overseas Bond Markets: - US Bond Market: On June 3, the 10-year US Treasury yield remained unchanged at 4.46%, while yields of other tenors generally increased. The yield spread between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasuries narrowed by 2bp to 50bp [23][24]. - European Bond Market: On June 3, the 10-year government bond yield of France remained unchanged, while those of other major European economies mostly declined [26]. - Price Changes of Chinese Dollar Bonds: Information on the daily price changes of Chinese dollar bonds as of the close on June 3 was provided, including the daily and monthly changes, credit entities, bond codes, and other details [28].