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电子行业周报:中美关税博弈再反复,自主可控紧迫性持续升级-20250604
Guoxin Securities·2025-06-04 10:55

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronic industry [5][9]. Core Views - The ongoing US-China tariff disputes are intensifying the urgency for self-sufficiency in the electronic sector. Despite a slight decline in the overall electronic market, certain sub-sectors like components have shown resilience with a 2.21% increase [1][10]. - The semiconductor industry is facing challenges due to export restrictions on EDA tools, emphasizing the strategic importance of domestic production capabilities [2]. - The NAND Flash market is expected to recover as inventory levels normalize, with a projected 10% revenue growth for major brands in Q2 2025 [3]. - Nvidia's quarterly revenue reached a record high, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the AI-related electronic components [4]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03%, while the electronic sector declined by 0.59%. The semiconductor sub-sector faced concerns over sustainability due to recent performance issues from SMIC [1][10]. Semiconductor Industry - The report highlights the impact of US export restrictions on EDA tools, which reinforces the need for a fully domestic semiconductor supply chain. Companies like SMIC and Huahong Semiconductor are recommended for their potential in this area [2]. Storage Market - NAND Flash prices are expected to rebound in Q2 2025 after a significant drop in Q1 2025, with a forecasted 10% revenue increase for major brands as demand stabilizes [3]. AI and Infrastructure - Nvidia's data center revenue surged to $39.112 billion, reflecting a 73.3% year-over-year increase, driven by the demand for AI infrastructure. The report suggests continued investment in companies involved in AI technologies [4]. Key Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong domestic capabilities in the semiconductor and storage sectors, including names like SMIC, Jingwei, and others [2][3][9].