Guoxin Securities·2025-06-04 10:55Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [5] Core Insights - The blood purification device industry is benefiting from an aging population and increasing treatment penetration rates, with hemodialysis being the primary treatment for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) [2][12] - The domestic substitution trend in the blood purification device industry is accelerating, with local brands gradually rising to compete with foreign brands [2][33] - The market for blood purification devices is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing number of ESRD patients and the low treatment penetration rate in China compared to developed countries [17][19] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector outperformed the overall market, with a 2.21% increase in the biopharmaceutical sector, while the total A-share market declined by 0.05% [1][60] - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the biopharmaceutical sector is 34.03x, which is at the 69.61% percentile of the historical valuation over the past five years [1][67] Industry Analysis - The global ESRD patient population is projected to grow from 1113.86 million in 2023 to 1328.60 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.51% [17] - In China, the number of ESRD patients receiving dialysis treatment is significantly lower than in developed countries, indicating substantial growth potential for treatment penetration [19][30] Competitive Landscape - Foreign brands dominate the blood purification device market, with companies like Fresenius and Baxter holding significant market shares, but local brands are increasingly gaining ground [33][37] - Major domestic players include Weigao Blood Purification, Shanda Mountain, and Jianfan Biological, which are expanding their market presence through innovation and product development [33][41][45] Company Forecasts and Ratings - Major companies in the sector, such as Mindray Medical and WuXi AppTec, are rated as "Outperform" with strong projected earnings growth over the next few years [4][71] - Weigao Blood Purification is expected to generate revenue of 36.04 billion yuan in 2024, with a leading market share in blood purification devices [38][41]