农产品期权策略早报-20250604

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The agricultural product options market shows diverse trends. Oilseeds and oils are in a range - bound consolidation, with some varieties like beans and oils showing weak trends. Agricultural by - products maintain a volatile pattern, soft commodities like sugar are weak and cotton is in a high - level consolidation after a rebound, and grains like corn and starch are gradually warming up and then in a narrow - range consolidation [2]. - Overall, it is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product futures show various price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the price of soybeans (A2507) is 4,122 with a decline of 8 and a decrease rate of 0.19%, and its trading volume is 7.27 million lots with a decrease of 1.62 million lots, and open interest is 12.92 million lots with a decrease of 0.46 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of different option varieties are presented. For instance, the volume PCR of soybeans (A2507) is 0.61 with a change of 0.04, and the open interest PCR is 0.51 with a change of 0.01 [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels are identified for each option variety. For example, the pressure level of soybeans (A2507) is 4,300 and the support level is 4,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data of different option varieties are given. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybeans (A2507) is 9.14%, and the weighted implied volatility is 14.95% with a change of 0.47% [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations - Oilseeds and Oils Options - Soybeans (A2507, B2509): Due to factors such as US - China trade disputes, normal spring - sowing weather, and weak export demand, US soybean futures prices are mainly in a downward trend. For soybeans (A2507), it is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - Soybean Meal (M2507) and Rapeseed Meal (RM2507): The average daily trading volume of soybean meal has decreased significantly. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Palm Oil (P2507), Soybean Oil (Y2507), and Rapeseed Oil (OI2507): The trading volume of oils is weak, and the inventory is relatively sufficient. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - Peanuts (PK2510): With a weak demand and sufficient supply, it is recommended to construct a bull call spread strategy for direction and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - Agricultural By - products Options - Pigs (LH2507): The domestic market shows an oversupply situation. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [11]. - Eggs (JD2507): The supply is sufficient and the demand is weak. It is recommended to construct a bear put spread strategy for direction, a short bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and no spot hedging strategy is provided [12]. - Apples (AP2510): The inventory removal speed has slowed down. It is recommended to construct a bear put spread strategy for direction, a short bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and no spot hedging strategy is provided [12]. - Jujubes (CJ2509): In the off - season, prices are at a low level. It is recommended to construct a bear put spread strategy for direction, a short wide - straddle option combination strategy for volatility, and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [13]. - Soft Commodities Options - Sugar (SR2507): The export situation from Brazil has changed, and prices are in a weak and volatile state. It is recommended to construct a short bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - Cotton (CF2507): The export volume of Brazil has decreased, and prices are in a volatile pattern. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [14]. - Grains Options - Corn (C2507) and Starch (CS2507): Corn prices are affected by factors such as traders' behavior and wheat prices. It is recommended to construct a neutral short call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and no spot hedging strategy is provided for corn [14].