中金亦庄REIT（508080）申购价值分析

Group 1: Investment Overview - The initial inquiry period for Zhongjin Yizhuang REIT is June 5, 2025, with a preliminary price range of CNY 2.257 to CNY 2.758 per share, aiming to raise CNY 1.003 billion[7] - The REIT focuses on high-end automotive and new energy vehicle key component industrial parks, with over 5 years of operation and a tenant composition heavily weighted towards the automotive manufacturing sector[2] - The original equity holder, Yizhuang Shengyuan, has developed 57 industrial platforms with a total operational area of nearly 4 million square meters, housing over 5,000 enterprises[2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue from 2022 to 2024 was CNY 0.8 billion, CNY 0.98 billion, and CNY 1.04 billion, with approximately 90% derived from rental income[3] - Net profit for the same period was CNY 0.11 billion, CNY 0.25 billion, and CNY 0.25 billion, with gross margins increasing from 54.9% to 65.9%[3] - The occupancy rate improved from 66.74% in 2022 to 85.42% in 2024, although it remains below the average of comparable REITs[3] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - The projected annual distribution rate for 2025 is 6.22%, significantly higher than the average of comparable REITs[45] - The project has a discount rate of 7.25%, with an asset valuation increase of 57.46% compared to its book value[47] - The P/NAV ratio is estimated between 2.45 and 3.00, which is significantly higher than the average of comparable REITs, while the P/FFO is lower at 18.70 to 22.85[48] Group 4: Risks and Considerations - Risks include high tenant industry concentration, potential valuation fluctuations, and a relatively short remaining land use period[2]