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吉利汽车(00175):5月新能源销量大幅增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 26.0, indicating a potential upside of 47% based on the forecasted P/E ratio of 17.9 times for 2025 [1][4]. Core Insights - In May, the total sales of the company reached 235,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 46.4% and a month-on-month increase of 0.5%. Among these, the sales of new energy vehicles were 138,000 units, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 135.2% and a month-on-month increase of 9.9% [2][4]. - The company launched new models that have quickly gained popularity in their respective segments. The Galaxy Star 8 was launched at a price range of RMB 115,800 to RMB 155,800, and it became the best-selling B-class plug-in hybrid sedan within a week of its launch. The Lynk & Co 900 was also introduced, featuring advanced technology and competitive pricing [3][4]. Sales Performance - The company reported cumulative sales of 1.173 million passenger vehicles from January to May, which is a year-on-year increase of 48.6%. The cumulative sales of new energy vehicles during the same period reached 603,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 137.1% [2][4]. Market Dynamics - The automotive price war may ease as regulatory bodies express opposition to excessive price cuts. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers have indicated a need for fair competition in the market, which could impact future pricing strategies [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve sales revenue of RMB 179.2 billion in FY2023, with a growth rate of 21%. By FY2025, the revenue is expected to reach RMB 310.2 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 29% [5][10]. - Net profit is forecasted to be RMB 5.3 billion in FY2023, with a significant increase to RMB 16.6 billion in FY2024, followed by a slight decline to RMB 13.7 billion in FY2025 [5][10]. Stock Performance - The company's stock has shown positive relative returns of 1.88% over one month, 2.61% over three months, and an impressive 61.60% over twelve months [8].