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浙江龙盛:2024年报及2025年一季报点评:染料、中间体业务盈利水平回升,房地产业务-20250605

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Zhejiang Longsheng [5] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 15.884 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.79%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 2.030 billion yuan, up 32.36% year-on-year [1] - The dye and intermediate business profitability is recovering, and the real estate business is gradually realizing revenue [2][12] - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 8.5%, 5.5%, and 6.3% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 2.104 billion yuan, 2.330 billion yuan, and 2.445 billion yuan for the same years [13] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue from dye, intermediates, real estate, and additives is projected to be 7.591 billion, 3.282 billion, 2.482 billion, and 1.002 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.94%, 4.58%, 87.26%, and 7.63% [2] - The gross margins for these segments are 31.67%, 29.40%, 27.87%, and 28.75%, with year-on-year changes of 3.83, -2.61, -2.42, and 4.99 percentage points respectively [2] - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow, which rose by 236.79% year-on-year to 9.265 billion yuan in 2024 [4] Production and Sales - In 2024, the company produced 220,600 tons of dyes, a 12.48% increase year-on-year, and sold 238,400 tons, up 7.17% [3] - The production and sales of additives and intermediates also saw increases, with additives' production up 14.23% and intermediates' production up 19.31% year-on-year [3] Market Position - Zhejiang Longsheng maintains a leading position in the dye industry with an annual production capacity of 300,000 tons of dyes and 100,000 tons of additives, holding the largest market share globally [11] - The company has expanded its intermediate production capacity to 119,500 tons, with significant cost advantages in the production of key intermediates [11] Real Estate Development - The real estate segment is progressing well, with projects like the Xiangyu Yumaofu contributing to a revenue increase of 87.26% year-on-year [12] - The company has a pre-sale amount of 6.442 billion yuan for the Bay Shang Ming Yuan project, with a pre-sale ratio exceeding 80% [12]