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长城汽车:5月销量回暖,新品加速上市助力销量持续增长-20250605

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a recovery in May sales, with a year-on-year increase of 11.78%, selling 102,200 vehicles [6][7] - The sales of new energy vehicles reached 32,600 units in May, up 32.41% year-on-year, while sales of models priced above 200,000 yuan increased by 24.67% [7] - The company is expanding its overseas sales, with May overseas sales at 34,500 units, accounting for 33.78% of total monthly sales [8] - New product launches are expected to support continued sales growth, with several new models introduced in April and May [8] Summary by Sections Basic Data - Latest closing price: 22.46 yuan - 12-month A-share price range: 21.83-32.03 yuan - Total shares: 8,559.53 million - Circulating market value: 191.54 billion yuan [2] Sales Performance - May sales reached 102,200 units, with a cumulative total of 459,100 units from January to May, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.54% [6] - Breakdown of May sales by brand: Haval brand sold 57,700 units (+22.58% YoY), WEY brand sold 6,200 units (+115.27% YoY), and Ora brand sold 2,000 units (-67.34% YoY) [7] Financial Forecast - Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 14.315 billion, 16.584 billion, and 18.762 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.8%, 15.9%, and 13.1% [9] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 234.06 billion, 264.54 billion, and 294.23 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.8%, 13.0%, and 11.2% [11]