CANNY(SZ:002367) Dong Jian Yan Bao·2025-06-05 11:12Group 1: Report Basic Information - Report research company: Kangli Elevator [16] - Research industry: Special equipment [16] - Reception time: June 4, 2025 [16] - Company reception staff: Investor relations representatives Luo Chengbin and Yu Hao [16] Group 2: Research Institutions - High - end China (Securities company, representative: Du Qian) [17] - Goldman Sachs (Other, representative: Daniela Costa) [17] - Hel Ved Capital (Other, representative: Yang Yang) [17] - China Merchants Fund (Fund management company, representative: Wang Qichao) [17] - JP Morgan (Foreign bank, representative: Chen Binghong) [17] - 3W Fund (Other, representative: Liu Haocong) [17] - Panze Asset (Other, representative: Xiong Weiming) [17] Group 3: Core Views - The downstream demand structure of the elevator industry has changed significantly. The real - estate market demand is declining, but factors such as the increase in elevator allocation ratios, emerging demand in sub - sectors, and overseas markets will offset some of the decline. The industry is at the start of large - scale renovation, showing a new situation where the incremental market declines and the stock market rises, and the overall market scale will gradually stabilize [25][26] Group 4: Industry and Company Situation Updated Renovation Market - There are over 1 million old elevators with a service life of over 15 years, and the number is rising. In 2024, about 41,000 elevator renovation projects were supported by ultra - long - term treasury bond funds, with a target of 60,000 in 2025. Policy support will lead to a rapid release of renovation demand [23] Real - Estate Industry - In 2024, the real - estate market demand declined, with the sales amount of newly built commercial housing falling below 10 trillion yuan. From January to April 2025, the sales area and amount of newly built commercial housing decreased by 2.8% and 3.2% year - on - year respectively, with the decline rate narrowing significantly. The current recovery is still phased and partial [24] New Elevator Market - From January to April this year, the new building start - up area decreased by 23.8% year - on - year, leading to intense price competition for new elevator orders [27] Customer Payment and Accounts Receivable - Government public construction project payments are generally normal, while real - estate customers' liquidity remains tight. The company manages cash flow effectively, with a sales collection rate of 125.91% in 2024 and a 1.96% decrease in accounts receivable balance at the end of the period compared to the beginning [28][29] Elevator After - Market - The elevator after - market includes maintenance, repair, parts, and renovation. The market concentration of maintenance and repair is low, with small enterprises accounting for over 60% of the market share. Renovation is mainly dominated by整机 manufacturers. The self - maintenance ratio of整机 manufacturers is low due to strategic choices and low user stickiness. All major整机 enterprises are increasing investment in the after - market [30][31] Company's After - Market Business - In 2024, the company's installation and maintenance business revenue accounted for 15.39%. The company plans to promote after - market business development by upgrading department positioning, improving renovation solutions, and strengthening cooperation through joint ventures [32] Regulatory Policy Impact - The General Administration of Market Supervision released a draft revision of the Regulations on the Supervision of Special Equipment in January 2025. It's uncertain whether all provisions will be passed and what impact it will have on the elevator maintenance industry [33]