GEELY AUTO(00175) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-06-05 11:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" [1][8] Core Views - In May 2025, Geely's new energy vehicle sales reached a record high of over 138,000 units, with optimistic expectations for annual sales and operating performance due to the launch of several key models [3][8] - The report anticipates Geely's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 16.3 billion RMB, 18.2 billion RMB, and 23.7 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.62 RMB, 1.81 RMB, and 2.35 RMB [8][10] - The report highlights a 46% year-on-year increase in May sales, with total sales reaching 235,000 units, including 138,000 new energy vehicles, which represents a 178% increase in pure electric vehicle sales and a 76% increase in plug-in hybrid sales [8][10] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 147.965 billion RMB in 2022 to 321.801 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 34% [7][10] - Gross profit is expected to increase from 20.896 billion RMB in 2022 to 51.810 billion RMB in 2025 [7] - Net profit is forecasted to rise significantly from 5.123 billion RMB in 2022 to 16.299 billion RMB in 2025, marking a 222% increase [7][10] - The report provides a PE ratio forecast of 22 for 2024, decreasing to 12 for 2025, and further to 11 for 2026 [7][10] Sales Performance - For the first five months of 2025, Geely's total sales reached 1.173 million units, a 49% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicle sales accounting for 603,000 units [8][10] - The report outlines a sales target of 2.71 million units for 2025, with a specific target of 1.5 million new energy vehicles [8][10] - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, which is expected to enhance sales growth certainty [8][10]