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紫金矿业:2025年中期策略会速递有成长性、稳健经营的铜金龙头矿企-20250605
HTSC·2025-06-05 10:25

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5][8]. Core Views - The company is characterized as a growth-oriented and stable operator in the copper mining sector, with recent discussions on key events such as the spin-off listing in Hong Kong, acquisition of Zangge Mining, and the suspension of operations at the Kamoa Copper Mine [1]. - The spin-off of Zijin Gold International aims to create an independent financing platform and enhance the valuation of gold assets, with a planned issuance of up to 15% of the total share capital [2]. - The completion of the acquisition of control over Zangge Mining (increased stake to 26.18%) is expected to facilitate further control over the Jilong Copper Mine and improve operational synergies in the salt lake sector [3]. - The Kamoa-Kakula Copper Mine has experienced temporary production suspension due to seismic activity, but the impact on the company's overall production and profits is considered limited [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits for the years 2025 to 2027 to be RMB 44 billion, RMB 46.5 billion, and RMB 51.8 billion respectively, with a projected revenue increase of 13.73% in 2025 [5][7]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is RMB 1.52, with a return on equity (ROE) projected at 26.1% [7][8]. - The report provides a valuation based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10/20/13 for 2025, with target prices set at RMB 22.49 and HKD 21.73 for A/H shares [5][8].