JACK(SH:603337) HTSC·2025-06-06 02:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 43.60 [8][9]. Core Views - The report indicates that the impact of tariffs on the sewing machine industry is manageable in the short term, while in the medium to long term, it may drive a shift in global apparel manufacturing, boosting demand for new sewing machines [1][2]. - The company is focusing on promoting AI technology in apparel manufacturing, introducing new products such as AI sewing machines and humanoid robots to help downstream clients reduce costs and improve efficiency [1][4]. - Continuous product innovation is expected to enhance the company's profitability [1]. Summary by Sections Tariff Impact - In the short term, uncertainty in U.S. tariff policies may lead some downstream clients to adopt a wait-and-see approach regarding expansion. However, in the medium to long term, this uncertainty is likely to accelerate the decentralization of the global apparel supply chain, prompting manufacturers to shift to countries with lower tariff risks, thereby increasing demand for new machines and providing opportunities for leading companies to enhance market share [2]. Industry Growth - In April, the industrial sewing machine export value reached USD 148 million, a year-on-year increase of 23%. Notably, demand from low-tariff risk regions like Egypt, Kenya, and Argentina saw significant growth, with year-on-year increases of 111%, 254%, and 842%, respectively [3]. Labor and AI Integration - The apparel manufacturing industry is labor-intensive, with a potential for significant machine replacement. The report highlights that the company has made milestone progress in high-end product development, including prototypes of high-end AI sewing machines and humanoid robots, which are expected to open new growth avenues [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are RMB 1.16 billion, RMB 1.28 billion, and RMB 1.38 billion, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 14, and 13. The target price has been adjusted to RMB 43.60 based on a revised PE of 18 for 2025 [5][7].