Workflow
兰剑智能(688557):自研自产高筑壁垒,对标巨头空间广阔

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [11]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the smart logistics sector, focusing on self-research and production capabilities in both hardware and software [22][23]. - The revenue structure is designed around "core systems + high-margin services," with significant growth expected in both automated logistics systems and operational maintenance services [37][9]. - The company has substantial growth potential by benchmarking against global leader Daifuku, particularly in expanding overseas revenue and service offerings [54][56]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, design, production, sales, and service of smart logistics systems centered around intelligent robots, providing comprehensive solutions across various industries [22][23]. Revenue Structure - In 2024, the smart warehouse logistics automation system is projected to generate revenue of 1.122 billion yuan with a gross margin of 30.74%. Operational maintenance services are expected to yield 44 million yuan with a gross margin of 52.05% [37][9]. Market Potential - The smart logistics equipment market in China is expected to grow from 449 billion yuan in 2020 to 1,041 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 23.4% [39][44]. Benchmarking Against Daifuku - The company aims to increase its overseas revenue share, which is currently at 2.70%, by expanding into new markets such as Thailand, Mexico, and Canada, with overseas project contracts reaching 240 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 281% [56][62]. Future Growth Drivers - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for automation in logistics driven by AI technology, which is reshaping the industry towards a more technology-intensive model [10][73]. - The operational maintenance and consulting services are anticipated to become a significant growth curve, with gross margins significantly higher than the core logistics automation systems [67][9]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 162 million yuan, 197 million yuan, and 318 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.59, 1.92, and 3.11 yuan [11][79].