SHCI(SH:601225)2025-06-06 07:10Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company possesses rich and high-quality coal resources, particularly in the Shaanxi region, which supports stable growth and profitability despite coal price fluctuations [8]. - The acquisition of power assets is expected to enhance the integration of coal and electricity operations, leading to improved profitability stability [8]. - The company has demonstrated strong cash flow, a healthy asset structure, and a positive dividend policy, reflecting its dividend attributes [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is a subsidiary of Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, with significant coal reserves and a coal production capacity of 162 million tons, primarily located in key development areas [16][22]. - As of 2024, the company has coal reserves of 1.7931 billion tons and a recoverable reserve of 1.0246 billion tons, with a mining life exceeding 70 years [16][50]. 2. Coal Business - The company has a modernized and efficient coal mining operation, with a focus on low-cost production and high-quality coal suitable for power generation and chemical industries [50]. - The average selling price of self-produced coal has shown resilience, with prices of 669, 591, and 532 RMB per ton from 2022 to 2024, respectively [6][38]. - The gross profit margin for self-produced coal has consistently remained above 50%, with significant contributions from major mines in the Shaanxi region [38]. 3. Power Business - The company has a total installed capacity of 19.62 million kilowatts, with 8.3 million kilowatts in operation and 11.32 million kilowatts under construction, primarily in the Henan, Shaanxi, Shanxi, and Hunan provinces [2][16]. - The expected power generation from newly constructed units is projected to contribute significantly to revenue in the coming years [2]. 4. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 184.14 billion RMB and a net profit of 22.36 billion RMB in 2024, with a slight year-on-year decline in net profit [32]. - The company maintains a healthy cash flow, with operating cash flows exceeding 30 billion RMB annually since 2021 [40]. - The dividend payout ratio has remained above 50% since 2020, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [45]. 5. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 16.81 billion RMB, 18.16 billion RMB, and 20.12 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.73, 1.87, and 2.08 RMB [9]. - The strategic focus on integrating coal and power operations is anticipated to enhance profitability and operational efficiency [8].